Ondo’s $50b refinery deal: Promise, peril, pitfalls of unverified ambition

Kunle Odusola-Stevenson
8 Min Read

When Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa announced the $50 billion Sunshine Infrastructure Joint Venture (JV) on 5 November 2025, Ondo State was projected to become Nigeria’s next industrial powerhouse. The plan — a 500,000-barrels-per-day refinery and a 1,471-hectare Free Trade Zone in Ilaje — was hailed as a turning point for job creation, investment, and energy independence.

The consortium, featuring Backbone Infrastructure Nigeria Limited (BINL), MJ Care Investment Finance, China Harbour, and Honeywell OUP, claimed to be backed by NEFEX Holdings Limited (Canada) through its Nigerian subsidiary, Nefex Petro Line Ltd.

But a deeper interrogation of the deal using a structured risk framework raises fundamental questions about its credibility. New corporate filings in the United Kingdom, linked to the same individuals behind NEFEX, now cast additional doubt on the substance of this multi-billion-dollar narrative.

Corporate and Legal Fragility

At the core of the deal is NEFEX Holdings, a company incorporated in February 2025 — barely nine months before the announcement. The firm has no operational history, no audited accounts, and no verifiable track record in infrastructure or energy development. Yet, by July 2025, it was already signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Ondo State, claiming to have ‘secured’ tens of billions in funding.

The story took another twist when records from Companies House UK revealed the incorporation of Supreme International Monetary and Credit Organization Limited (Company No. 16716243), registered in London on 15 September 2025, with just £100 in share capital. Its directors — Dr. Navid Zaheri (Omani), Mr. Farhad Salehi (Canadian), Mr. Eghbal Kord Jamshidi, and Mr. Saeed Zaheri — are the same individuals identified in the NEFEX structure.

Dr. Zaheri, listed as both Chairperson and Person with Significant Control (PSC), holds 95% of shares and over 75% of voting rights. The company’s address — 20–22 Wenlock Road, London N1 7GU — is a well-known shared virtual office used by hundreds of newly formed entities.

With no operational base, employees, or financial statements, the pattern is unmistakable: a network of thinly capitalised, multi-jurisdictional companies designed to appear global, yet offering little substance.

Cross-Border and Transparency Gaps

The Sunshine JV spans four regulatory jurisdictions — Nigeria, Canada, Oman, and the United Kingdom — yet none provide a transparent financial trail. NEFEX lists a Canadian registration, operates via a Swiss phone line, and is directed primarily by Omani nationals. Its supposed UK affiliate, Supreme International Monetary and Credit Organization Ltd, claims expertise in credit, investment, and advisory services, but offers no evidence of operational activity.

Such opacity creates severe cross-border enforcement risks. Should disputes or defaults occur, the Nigerian government — or Ondo State taxpayers — would face a legal maze with little practical recourse. Despite promises of ‘transparency’, no escrow accounts, proof of funds, or letters of credit have been presented publicly.

People and Reputation Risks

The leadership of the consortium adds more symbolism than substance.
Ken Nnamani, former Senate President and JV Chairman, lends political stature but no technical experience in energy or project finance.

The JV’s Managing Director, Henry Owonka projects confidence and claims ‘consistent engagement’ with ONDIPA, but no record of previous infrastructure delivery exists.
Wale Adekola of BINL touts NEFEX’s ‘global financing network’, yet no major financial institution or regulator has publicly endorsed the arrangement.

Online discourse around the project — from Tribune Online, Leadership, and New Telegraph — has largely replicated government press releases without independent scrutiny, reinforcing the perception of a media-driven announcement rather than a bankable transaction.

Financial Implausibility

The numbers alone raise eyebrows. A $50 billion investment claim — equivalent to Nigeria’s entire federal budget — from an entity less than a year old, without bank references or audited accounts, strains credulity.

Project valuations have shifted repeatedly: from $15 billion to $30 billion, and now to $50 billion, justified vaguely as including “community programmes.” Such valuation inflation suggests an effort to boost optics rather than disclose actual financing.

Moreover, NEFEX and its UK counterpart list a combined share capital of only £100, offering no evidence of credit lines, guarantees, or institutional backers. Even their promised Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) pledges — youth empowerment, healthcare, and skills development — lack any contractual or financial commitments.

Regulatory and Compliance Exposure

While neither NEFEX nor its UK affiliate appears on sanctions lists, both structures raise classic AML (Anti-Money Laundering) and PEP (Politically Exposed Persons) red flags — cross-border ownership, rapid incorporation, and political association.

Environmental, local content, and host community requirements — including EIA, NCDMB clearance, and community consent — remain conspicuously absent. While the Olugbo of Ugbo Kingdom has reportedly been briefed, there is no public evidence of a signed agreement ensuring local benefit-sharing or environmental protection.

A Mirror of Nigeria’s Investment Dilemma

The Ondo refinery deal reflects Nigeria’s ongoing development paradox: a nation eager for transformative capital yet chronically vulnerable to speculative partnerships. Subnational governments, often excluded from federal funding pipelines, have grown dependent on MoU diplomacy — signing ambitious deals that seldom mature into tangible assets.

Governor Aiyedatiwa’s intent to industrialise Ondo is commendable. However, development cannot be built on press releases and ceremonial signings. True progress requires certified funding proofs, phased milestones, third-party audits, and transparent accountability mechanisms.

Still, the initiative demonstrates a growing assertiveness of Nigerian states seeking economic autonomy. If properly managed, Ondo’s ambition could inspire a more competitive subnational investment culture. But ambition must be grounded in verification, not spectacle.

Conclusion: Between Vision and Verification

The Ondo refinery project stands at a crossroads between vision and verification. On paper, it promises thousands of jobs, exports, and industrial rebirth. In reality, it rests on the untested foundations of recently incorporated entities with no proven financial capacity.

The discovery of Supreme International Monetary and Credit Organization Ltd in London — tied directly to NEFEX directors — deepens concerns about the authenticity of the claimed funding.

Before a single spade of sand is turned, Ondo State must demand:
• Certified funding documentation and escrow validation,
• Independent verification by reputable financial auditors, and
• Public disclosure of beneficial ownership and governance structures.

Economic transformation is not achieved by rhetoric — it is earned through verifiable execution. If the Sunshine State truly seeks to illuminate Nigeria’s path, it must do so not with billion-dollar headlines, but with evidence-based investment and accountable governance.

Only then will Ondo’s promise rise from projection to proof — and from political spectacle to genuine legacy.

Kunle Odusola-Stevenson is a Lagos-based Public Relations and Policy Communications professional focused on media, energy, and strategic investment narratives.

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