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Prosperity’s unfinished equation

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The Nobel Prize in Economics has been awarded to three American economists whose work explores how institutions influence the economic prosperity of nations, shedding light on why some countries are rich while others remain poor. Their contributions are rightly celebrated, as they uncover one of the critical missing links between developed and underdeveloped economies.

I’ve long been intrigued by why regions like Africa and Latin America lag economically compared to Europe, North America, and parts of Asia. The question has always been: what is that elusive “X Factor” responsible for this disparity?

While the Nobel laureates’ work provides a solid framework for understanding the distribution of wealth across nations, I find their analysis too broad, lacking specificity for real-world application. Their focus on the role of institutions, especially in promoting democracy, seems grounded in a Western perspective that hasn’t borne fruit in many developing regions. China and Russia, for instance, present anomalies to their thesis—both countries have seen significant economic strides without fully adhering to the democratic institutions these economists argue are crucial for growth.

I’m not an economist by training, but I’ve come to realize that while their insights help illuminate the broader dynamics at play in global wealth distribution, they fall short of offering a concrete roadmap for lifting developing economies out of poverty. The assumption that democracy leads inevitably to economic prosperity seems misplaced, particularly when we consider countries where democratic ideals haven’t catalyzed development. The analysis, though valuable, seems to prescribe a Western model that may not fit every context.

While institutional theory offers a compelling lens, it might overstate the role of democracy in economic development. Countries like Singapore and China have demonstrated that non-democratic regimes can also create favorable conditions for prosperity by maintaining stable, effective institutions—without adhering to Western democratic ideals. Additionally, factors such as geography, access to resources, historical colonization, and even culture may provide further nuances that the institutional framework alone cannot fully capture. In essence, institutions matter, but they are only part of the equation.

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