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ANC set to lose majority with 97% result counted in South Africa

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With more than 97 per cent of the ballots counted, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) is leading with just over 40 per cent share of the national vote, three days after the country voted in national elections that could throw up the biggest challenge to the ANC’s political dominance since the end of apartheid in South Africa 30 years ago.

The Democratic Alliance (DA), the country’s principal opposition party, is currently in second place followed by the uMkhonto we Sizwe (MK party) and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF).

Here is how the top four parties  are doing, according to the latest updates from the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC).

Results by province

The ANC is currently ahead in seven out of South Africa’s nine provinces. It is at more than 50 per cent in vote counts in five of those: Limpopo (74 per cent), the Eastern Cape (64 per cent), North West (59 per cent), Free State (53 per cent) and Mpumalanga (52 per cent). In the Northern Cape (49 per cent) and Gauteng (36 per cent) the ANC currently leads with a plurality of the votes, but might need coalition partners to form governments.

The opposition DA is on track to continue to govern the Western Cape (53 per cent), which it has done since 2009.

And in KwaZulu-Natal, former President Jacob Zuma’s MK party has the highest number of votes at about 46 per cent ahead of the ANC with only about 18 per cent.

What if no party receives a majority?

If the ANC does not receive more than 50 per cent of the vote, it will need to make a deal with other parties to form a coalition government. The choice of coalition partner will depend on the support needed to cross the 50 per cent mark.

Which are the main parties in the race?

Four of the biggest players to watch out for in this year’s elections are the ANC, the DA, MK and EFF.

INTERACTIVE - South Africa elections 2024 -major political parties-1716730781
(Al Jazeera)

Previous election results

The ANC has won all national elections since the end of apartheid in 1994 when Nelson Mandela became the country’s first Black president.

In 1994, the ANC won 62.5 per cent of the vote. In 1999, it won 66.4 per cent. In 2004, it reached its highest levels, clinching almost 70 per cent of the vote. In 2009, it won nearly 66 per cent, and in 2014, it won 62 per cent.

In the last election in 2019, the ANC achieved its lowest margin of victory, winning 57.5 per cent of the vote.

The DA has come second in the past five elections.

INTERACTIVE - South Africa elections - previous election results-1716730754

Parties in current National Assembly

The lower house of parliament is currently represented by 400 members of 14 political parties, allocated proportionally based on the votes each party received in the 2019 elections.

  • ANC: 230 seats (57.5 per cent)
  • DA: 84 seats (21 per cent)
  • EFF: 44 seats (11 per cent)
  • Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP): 14 seats (3.5 per cent)

Ten other parties make up the remaining 28 seats.

INTERACTIVE - South Africa elections 2024 - current national assembly-1716730760

How is the President elected?

South Africans do not directly vote for the president.

Instead, they elect the members of the National Assembly, who then elect the president by a simple majority – 201 or more votes determine the presidency.

If the ANC secures the majority, President Cyril Ramaphosa, 71, is likely to be re-elected to serve his second and final five-year term.

INTERACTIVE - South Africa elections 2024 - Ramaphosa and ANC-1716730770

When will the final results be announced?

In the last national election held on 8 May 2019, the final results were announced three days later. However, this year, with one more ballot to count, verifying results may take longer.

The IEC says it will announce the election results on Sunday.

Source: Al Jazeera

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